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Latest Insights

Mon, 20 April 2020

Commodities

May WTI turns negative, June contract dragged lower

The front month May WTI contract turned negative amid signs of a complete meltdown in the functioning of oil markets.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Mon, 20 April 2020

Morning Note

Front-month oil sinks, equities tentatively higher

Oil prices for the near (May) contract have tumbled. WTI sunk under $15 for the first time in 21 years, but the May contract is not really where the action is. All the volume has moved into the June contract as the May contract expires tomorrow.  This has created a super contango in the two closest months that is the largest I can recall. June is trading almost $10 higher at a little under $24.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Sun, 19 April 2020

Week Ahead

Week Ahead: Covid-19 earnings season, Amazon & Netflix to report

Can Amazon and Netflix continue to hit record highs when they publish their earnings this week? Find out why analysts have high hopes for these stocks ahead of their latest reports.

Written By:
Rewan Tremethick

Fri, 17 April 2020

Morning Note

Stocks rally on drug hopes, oil legs it lower

V is for vaccine: stocks have taken a bit of good news and are running with it for better or worse, whilst figures showing the economic wreckage can be discounted, by and large.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Thu, 16 April 2020

Morning Note

Stocks stage mild comeback after tough day, US jobless claims in focus

Stocks suffered yesterday as bulls hopes ran up against a wall of bad economic data, another drop in oil prices and banks’ earnings reports, but have recovered some composure in early trade today.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Wed, 15 April 2020

Morning Note

European stocks and oil decline as investors guess recovery shape

The OBR says the UK economy could fall by 35% in the second quarter. Brutal for sure, but it also expects a very sharp bounce back. This puts it in the V-shaped recovery camp, which is an ever-decreasing circle. Charles Evans, the Chicago Fed president, said yesterday the US is in for a very sharp but hopefully short downturn. 

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Tue, 14 April 2020

Equities

Dow earnings kick off, European markets pare gains, gold hits fresh high

Corporate earnings kicked off today with two Dow components first on the slate. Johnson & Johnson raised its dividend but lowered its guidance for 2020 to reflect the Covid-19 impact. The dividend was raised by 6.3% to $1.01 on adjusted earnings per share of $2.30 vs $2.01 forecast. 

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Tue, 14 April 2020

Morning Note

European markets cautiously higher, oil weak despite OPEC deal

After rallying into the Easter weekend, European markets were bit lacklustre on Tuesday but still trading marginally higher thanks to some decent numbers out of China and the continued hope that governments are getting a grip of the crisis. US shares closed softer on Monday, with the S&P 500 down 1%, but this was after the best weekly rally for Wall Street since 1974.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

Thu, 2 April 2020

Morning Note

Cautious tone for equities, oil rallies

HSBC is said to be mulling a move back to Hong Kong because the Bank of England asked it to not pay a dividend. Certainly, bank boards won’t be happy – their members count on those divis for paying for their second and third homes. Nor too will many savers, many of which are in Hong Kong. But any notion that the authorities will be interested in doing anything to ‘support savers’ is fanciful.

Written By:
Neil Wilson

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